Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.000188 0.000210 0.000234 0.000261 0.000292 0.000325 0.000364
2025-01-05 0.000153 0.000182 0.000216 0.000257 0.000305 0.000362 0.000432
2025-01-12 0.000129 0.000163 0.000203 0.000255 0.000321 0.000402 0.000507
2025-01-19 0.000112 0.000148 0.000194 0.000256 0.000339 0.000444 0.000590
2025-01-26 0.000097 0.000134 0.000183 0.000253 0.000349 0.000478 0.000664
2025-02-02 0.000090 0.000129 0.000184 0.000264 0.000379 0.000540 0.000783
2025-02-09 0.000082 0.000122 0.000180 0.000268 0.000400 0.000590 0.000888
2025-02-16 0.000075 0.000115 0.000175 0.000270 0.000418 0.000638 0.000995
2025-02-23 0.000068 0.000108 0.000169 0.000270 0.000431 0.000679 0.001094
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000100 0.000161 0.000265 0.000436 0.000707 0.001176
2025-03-09 0.000056 0.000094 0.000156 0.000263 0.000446 0.000744 0.001274
2025-03-16 0.000051 0.000089 0.000152 0.000264 0.000458 0.000786 0.001384
2025-03-23 0.000047 0.000084 0.000148 0.000264 0.000472 0.000833 0.001510
2025-03-30 0.000043 0.000079 0.000142 0.000260 0.000479 0.000868 0.001620
2025-04-06 0.000040 0.000075 0.000138 0.000260 0.000492 0.000915 0.001757
2025-04-13 0.000037 0.000072 0.000135 0.000262 0.000508 0.000970 0.001913
2025-04-20 0.000034 0.000067 0.000130 0.000258 0.000514 0.001006 0.002037
2025-04-27 0.000033 0.000067 0.000133 0.000270 0.000550 0.001104 0.002293
2025-05-04 0.000031 0.000065 0.000132 0.000274 0.000572 0.001175 0.002501
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.000063 0.000130 0.000277 0.000591 0.001243 0.002709
2025-05-18 0.000028 0.000060 0.000127 0.000276 0.000604 0.001296 0.002893
2025-05-25 0.000025 0.000056 0.000122 0.000271 0.000606 0.001328 0.003032
2025-06-01 0.000024 0.000054 0.000119 0.000270 0.000615 0.001378 0.003215